Churchill Downs

17:45

Runners: 7 Distance: 1m 0f 110y

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: TIGER MOON is a confident pick. He will be hard to ignore over his favourite trip and he knows how to win, while Ethereal Road and Papa Yo should also be in the mix.

Ethereal Road

Jockey: Luan Machado Trainer: Michael Maker Age/Wt: 6/8-6 F: 4-6474

Comment: He meets the required standard ability wise and showed smart form in his prime; solid effort in a claimer at Oaklawn Park 35 days ago; down in class now, dropping from a $32k tag; more than capable if on song so in with a chance.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
13/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	4 / 8	67/10	-
23/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	7 / 9	51/10	-
08/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	4 / 10	51/10	-
05/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	6 / 9	5/2	-
21/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 6	61/10	-
06/11/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	181/50	-

Master Game

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: J Sweezey Age/Wt: 6/8-6 F: 60-687

Comment: Quite a while since he tasted success and may not have any more improvement left; beaten 15l when seventh of nine last Friday in a claimer; claiming value now drops from $50k; found this claiming level has been beyond him recently so not one to rely on.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
09/05/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	7 / 9	327/10	-
16/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	8 / 12	367/5	-
15/02/25	Gulfstream Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 8	76/1	-
21/07/24	Del Mar / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	11 / 11	751/10	-
19/06/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	6 / 8	37/4	-
30/05/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	3 / 9	267/100	-

Big Paper

Jockey: Joseph Bealmear Trainer: Thomas Van Age/Wt: 7/8-1 F: 5950-3

Comment: Beaten just under 3l in February when sent off 16-1 at Oaklawn Park in a claimer; now eased in the grades (in for $16k); his best looks to be behind him and can be taken on.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
24/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	3 / 7	153/10	-
06/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	10 / 12	113/10	-
18/10/24	Keeneland / Starter Allowance / F	-	5 / 10	451/20	-
17/08/24	Ellis Park / Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 10	219/20	-
05/05/24	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	5 / 13	69/10	-
08/03/24	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	1 / 10	15/2	-

Tiger Moon

Jockey: Jose Ortiz Trainer: Lindsay Schultz Age/Wt: 6/8-6 F: 267-14

Comment: C&D has proven suitable before; this is his grade; not beaten too far when fourth of seven at Fair Grounds in February in a claimer; now down in class (in for $16k from $30k); holds leading claims if replicating the best of his form.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
06/02/25	Fair Grounds / Claiming / F	-	4 / 7	5/1	-
11/01/25	Fair Grounds / Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	11/5	-
07/12/24	Fair Grounds / Allowance / F	-	7 / 7	29/5	-
18/10/24	Laurel Park / Allowance / F	-	6 / 6	27/10	-
27/09/24	Laurel Park / Allowance / F	-	2 / 7	11/10	-
09/08/24	Monmouth Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 6	13/10	-

Swiss Slang

Jockey: Alex Achard Trainer: Riley Mott Age/Wt: 4/8-6 F: 91-6

Comment: Finished tailed off over 1m2f at Turfway Park (allowance optional claimer) in January; successful four times in his last seven starts; useful at this level; prospects.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
25/01/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 9	128/25	-
29/12/24	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 12	501/100	-
02/11/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	9 / 12	143/10	-
26/04/24	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	3 / 10	587/50	-
07/03/24	Gulfstream Park / Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	8/5	-
07/02/24	Gulfstream Park / Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 6	7/2	-

Hoodlum

Jockey: Cristian Torres Trainer: Eric Foster Age/Wt: 6/8-6 F: 26-982

Comment: Favourite but came up short over 1m here (claimer) last month; has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; claiming tag now upped to $16k; now looks to be past his prime and others more persuasive.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
26/04/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	2 / 9	177/100	-
17/02/25	Fair Grounds / Optional Claiming / F	-	8 / 10	47/10	-
04/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	9 / 12	81/5	-
16/11/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	6 / 10	219/50	-
18/10/24	Keeneland / Starter Allowance / F	-	2 / 10	463/100	-
22/09/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	1 / 8	21/4	-

Papa Yo

Jockey: Luis Saez Trainer: Christophe Davis Age/Wt: 4/8-6 F: 7115-8

Comment: Was tailed off despite being fancied at Tampa Bay Downs in January in an allowance optional claimer; can boast winning form over this C&D; managed three wins in his last seven outings; must be high on list.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
01/02/25	Tampa Bay Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	8 / 8	11/10	-
29/12/24	Gulfstream Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	5 / 6	22/5	-
18/10/24	Keeneland / Claiming / F	-	1 / 11	5/1	-
13/09/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	1 / 6	31/20	-
22/08/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Claiming / F	-	7 / 10	87/10	-
05/08/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Claiming / F	-	3 / 5	9/2	-

Favourite

2nd Favourite

Churchill Downs

18:14

Runners: 10 Distance: 1m 0f 110y

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: PURE BREEZE has to be the first name on the shortlist. Union Dame and Tip Tap are also respected.

Tip Tap

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: Jr Thomas Drury, Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 576

Comment: This now her fourth attempt to get off the mark; beaten sixth of 12 32 days ago at Keeneland in a maiden claimer; claiming value now drops to $12.5k; switching to dirt for the first time; should be thereabouts.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
16/04/25	Keeneland / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	6 / 12	862/25	-
12/03/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	7 / 9	441/50	-
02/02/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	5 / 12	141/20	-

Red Royalty

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: Michael Tomlinson Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 9-3555

Comment: Comfortably beaten finishing fifth when separating a number of reopposing rivals upped to 1m last month in a maiden claimer; the trainer continues to be among winners recently; she has a shout as shown some ability on occasion.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
29/04/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	5 / 11	249/50	-
16/04/25	Keeneland / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	5 / 12	1761/50	-
12/03/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	5 / 9	259/50	-
15/02/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 12	701/100	-
23/11/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	9 / 9	247/100	-

Union Dame

Jockey: Emmanuel Esquivel Trainer: Carlos Santamaria Age/Wt: 5/8-13 F: 9-6324

Comment: Improved form the last twice and she can be competitive at this level; split a number of these rivals last month when fourth of 11 in a maiden claimer; didn't have the best of luck last time and hard to dismiss.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
29/04/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	4 / 11	15/2	-
13/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 10	31/10	-
22/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 11	14/5	-
17/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	6 / 9	256/5	-
19/06/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	9 / 9	18/1	-
24/05/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	7 / 7	493/100	-

Sweet Sib

Jockey: Declan Cannon Trainer: William Morey Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 9-3296

Comment: Finished behind three of these rivals over 1m here (maiden claimer) when beaten 10l last month; finished second at Turfway Park three starts ago and too soon to write her off; likely to be involved.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
29/04/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	6 / 11	889/100	-
01/03/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	9 / 12	157/20	-
31/01/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 9	353/100	-
05/01/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 10	79/20	-
16/10/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	9 / 12	171/10	-
17/09/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 6	67/10	-

My Sexy Blonde

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Trainer: Alvin Taylor Age/Wt: 4/8-13 F: 39-8

Comment: Without a win after ten attempts; finished last of eight over 6½f at Turfway Park (maiden claimer) in February; significantly reduced claiming tag a concern so others more persuasive.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
06/02/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	8 / 8	437/50	-
07/09/24	Kentucky Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	9 / 12	5627/100	-
18/08/24	Ellis Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 12	4201/100	-
21/07/24	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	12 / 12	571/10	-
05/07/24	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 7	3243/100	-
07/06/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 10	1058/25	-

Fifth Of May

Jockey: Luan Machado Trainer: Ben Colebrook Age/Wt: 4/8-13 F: 60-504

Comment: Not disgraced when fourth of 12 at Keeneland over 6f (maiden claimer) where she had two of these rivals behind four weeks ago; tag has been dropped to $12.5k; switching to dirt for the first time; definitely of interest.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
16/04/25	Keeneland / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	4 / 12	2059/100	-
22/02/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	11 / 12	133/20	-
17/01/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	5 / 11	194/25	-
23/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	12 / 12	2231/100	-
09/10/24	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 12	1671/100	-
31/08/24	Kentucky Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	9 / 12	1471/100	-

Tiz Salty

Jockey: Irving Moncada Trainer: Michael Thompson Age/Wt: 4/8-8 F: 67-522

Comment: Has taken a step forward the last twice but still without a win after ten starts; beaten into runner-up when 11-10 at Turfway Park in March in a maiden claimer; tag has been raised to $12.5k; passed over.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
08/03/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 7	27/25	-
15/02/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 10	71/20	-
03/01/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	5 / 12	149/20	-
06/12/24	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	7 / 12	689/50	-
07/11/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	6 / 6	33/4	-
17/10/24	Keeneland / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	9 / 11	431/20	-

Pure Breeze

Jockey: Luis Saez Trainer: Joe Sharp Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 70-6

Comment: Lightly raced (running for just the fourth time); beaten 14l when sixth of seven here over 6½f (maiden claimer) last month; calmer waters here (in for $12.5k, $50k tag last time); first run on dirt; arguably the one to beat.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
29/04/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	6 / 7	79/25	-
11/09/24	Kentucky Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	11 / 12	567/100	-
01/09/24	Kentucky Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 12	1373/100	-

Malice Mama

Jockey: Carlos Barbosa Trainer: Bonnie Pittman Age/Wt: 5/8-13 F: 83432

Comment: Hard to crab her most recent performance (runner-up of six) in a maiden claimer (Turfway Park) two months ago; has arguably shown improved form the last twice but losing run totals ten; claiming tag now upped from $7.5k; switching to dirt for the first time; difficult to fancy.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
20/03/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	511/50	-
28/02/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 7	16/1	-
15/02/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	4 / 10	1667/100	-
30/01/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 11	1607/20	-
17/01/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	8 / 12	1707/50	-
21/12/24	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	7 / 12	9581/100	-

Judy's Flyer

Jockey: Mario Gutierrez Trainer: Genaro Garcia Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: -6873

Comment: 11th attempt to lose maiden tag but seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; third, beaten 7l, three weeks ago when she finished ahead of a number of these runners in a maiden claimer; should figure.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
29/04/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 11	763/50	-
13/03/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	7 / 10	497/25	-
30/01/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	8 / 8	399/50	-
02/01/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	6 / 11	121/25	-
17/11/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	6 / 7	121/20	-
30/10/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 9	1097/100	-

Favourite

2nd Favourite

Churchill Downs

18:43

Runners: 7 Distance: 1m 0f 110y

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: DAI VERNON is fancied for this. Winters Lion and Realignment should also be considered.

Kigali

Jockey: Martin Garcia Trainer: Philip Bauer Age/Wt: 5/8-12 F: -79

Comment: Finished ninth of 12 in an allowance optional claimer at Fair Grounds upped to this distance, managing to get across to lead from stall eight (problems in the gate at the start) in February; others more appealing.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
22/02/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 12	66/1	-
07/02/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	7 / 9	419/10	-
25/05/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	7 / 11	1379/50	-
28/04/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	7 / 10	1733/100	-
15/11/23	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 6	527/50	-
28/10/23	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	1 / 11	2843/100	-

Mo Hope

Jockey: Brian Jr Hernandez Trainer: Paul McGee Age/Wt: 5/8-12 F: 622-11

Comment: Improved form the last twice and bids to pull off a hat-trick; got home in front by a short head in a claimer (Keeneland) 38 days ago; up in class (in for $50k); despite that Keeneland success, can be taken on.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
10/04/25	Keeneland / Claiming / F	-	1 / 9	19/2	-
05/01/25	Fair Grounds / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 6	3/2	-
22/11/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	37/10	-
30/10/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 9	821/50	-
12/09/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	6 / 11	881/50	-
21/06/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	4 / 6	187/100	-

Special Dispatch

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: Thomas Amoss Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 1-833

Comment: Possesses winning form at this track; finishing third was a good effort in a starter allowance when ahead of Neon Nights at Oaklawn Park last month; one to note.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
13/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	3 / 8	39/5	-
13/02/25	Delta Downs / Allowance / F	-	3 / 5	31/10	-
18/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	8 / 11	79/10	-
15/12/24	Delta Downs / Allowance / F	-	1 / 7	11/10	-
14/11/24	Delta Downs / Allowance / F	-	2 / 7	11/5	-
17/08/24	Saratoga / Starter Allowance / F	-	6 / 9	73/2	-

Winters Lion

Jockey: Jose Ortiz Trainer: Joe Sharp Age/Wt: 5/8-12 F: 5-354

Comment: Beaten just over 3l last month when sent off 11-1 at Keeneland in an allowance race; encouragement to be gleaned from latest effort so definite chance.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
07/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	4 / 6	1089/100	-
27/01/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 6	6/1	-
05/01/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 5	58/5	-
01/12/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 11	3527/100	-
19/10/24	Remington Park / Stakes / F	-	3 / 7	31/10	-
07/09/24	Kentucky Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 10	517/20	-

Realignment

Jockey: Ben Curtis Trainer: Chris Block Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 5-40

Comment: Finished 11th of 12 three weeks ago at Keeneland in an allowance race; it wouldn't be a surprise to see him return to the winners' enclosure and should give it a bold bid.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
24/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	11 / 12	2101/100	-
22/03/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 10	251/10	-
28/12/24	Fair Grounds / Stakes / F	-	5 / 10	339/10	-
22/08/24	Hawthorne / Allowance / F	-	1 / 7	39/10	-
27/07/24	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	6 / 9	1283/50	-
27/06/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 6	49/5	-

Neon Nights

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: Jordan Blair Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 19-17

Comment: Possesses winning form at this track; on target twice in his last four outings; beaten 15l in seventh in a starter allowance at Oaklawn Park behind Special Dispatch, last month.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
13/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	7 / 8	5/1	-
02/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	89/10	-
13/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	9 / 9	56/5	-
10/11/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	263/50	-
20/09/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	4 / 9	473/25	-
13/08/24	Colonial Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 10	241/10	-

Dai Vernon

Jockey: Luis Saez Trainer: Norm Casse Age/Wt: 5/8-12 F: 406-26

Comment: Boasts winning form over C&D; was held in sixth at Oaklawn Park 51 days ago in a stakes; a major contender as he has worked well and down in class to claiming company.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
28/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Stakes / F	-	6 / 10	67/10	-
27/01/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	9/1	-
13/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 8	39/10	-
09/11/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	10 / 12	729/100	-
21/09/24	Parx / Stakes, Grade 3 / F	-	4 / 9	113/10	-
05/07/24	Belmont At The Big A / Stakes, Grade 2 / F	-	5 / 7	151/4	-

Favourite

2nd Favourite

Churchill Downs

19:13

Runners: 7 Distance: 0m 6f 0y

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: SINNER'S SIN is a regular winner at this trip and is no stranger to the winners' enclosure. Can't Hush This and Chasing Time should also be on the premises.

Gunner Bay

Jockey: Axel Concepcion Trainer: Michelle Lovell Age/Wt: 5/8-6 F: 5-262

Comment: Has achieved five wins from 19 career runs; good effort when just over 2l runner-up at Fair Grounds in March in an allowance optional claimer; he's an attractive contender.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
08/03/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	21/5	-
13/02/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 7	71/10	-
10/01/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	43/10	-
16/11/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	5 / 12	26/5	-
12/10/24	Keeneland / Starter Allowance / F	-	3 / 10	148/25	-
02/09/24	Thistledown / Allowance / F	-	1 / 5	2/1	-

Chasing Time

Jockey: Jose Ortiz Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 6/8-6 F: 45-524

Comment: Far from disgraced (beaten just over 4l) last month at Lone Star Park (muddy track) in an allowance optional claimer; can be a player at this level and successful four times from 6f to 1m; hard to ignore if building on promise shown last time.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
19/04/25	Lone Star Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 5	87/10	-
16/03/25	Sam Houston / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 5	9/10	-
14/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 6	77/10	-
01/12/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 6	432/25	-
07/04/24	Oaklawn Park / Stakes / F	-	4 / 10	36/5	-
23/02/24	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	3 / 7	21/2	-

Sinner's Sin

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Trainer: R Moquett Age/Wt: 6/8-6 F: 14-14

Comment: Useful in his prime and all five wins around this trip; respectable effort (beaten just under 4l) two months ago (Oaklawn Park) in an allowance race; Absence is no concern; has gone well after a break before and holds major claims.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
22/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	4 / 7	9/2	-
17/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	1 / 10	139/10	-
19/11/24	Remington Park / Allowance / F	-	4 / 5	13/10	-
19/09/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance / F	-	1 / 7	16/5	-
11/07/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance / F	-	3 / 5	7/5	-
07/04/24	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	6 / 10	37/5	-

Big Hat Willie

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: Genaro Garcia Age/Wt: 5/8-6 F: -53

Comment: A close third at Horseshoe Indianapolis over 5½f (allowance optional claimer) when ahead of Swift As I Am last month; wins-runs record of 5-24.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
29/04/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 6	7/5	-
23/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	5 / 6	67/10	-
22/11/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	77/100	-
16/10/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 8	9/2	-
23/08/24	Del Mar / Claiming / F	-	2 / 7	41/10	-
04/08/24	Del Mar / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 10	59/10	-

Swift As I Am

Jockey: Irving Moncada Trainer: David Jacobson Age/Wt: 7/8-1 F: 475

Comment: Finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (7l) at Horseshoe Indianapolis over 5½f (allowance optional claimer) on his debut for new trainer three weeks ago; quite a while since he tasted success; a once useful performer but not at that level anymore and there are better alternatives here.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
29/04/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 6	47/10	-
15/02/25	Fair Grounds / Stakes / F	-	7 / 7	381/5	-
18/01/25	Fair Grounds / Stakes / F	-	4 / 7	569/10	-
13/12/24	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 9	373/10	-
13/10/24	Hawthorne / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	7 / 11	127/10	-
11/09/24	Kentucky Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 12	639/20	-

Can't Hush This

Jockey: Luis Saez Trainer: Michael Maker Age/Wt: 6/8-6 F: 82236-

Comment: Comfortably beaten into sixth in September in an allowance optional claimer; a course winner; grade looks suitable; returns from an absence here; previous run was disappointing, but finished third two starts back; should go well.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
29/09/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 7	547/100	-
24/08/24	Saratoga / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 7	33/20	-
22/07/24	Ellis Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 9	629/100	-
29/06/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	2 / 8	219/100	-
03/05/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	8 / 12	2973/100	-
30/03/24	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 6	59/10	-

Hocus

Jockey: Declan Cannon Trainer: Michael Thompson Age/Wt: 8/8-6 F: /106-

Comment: Finished last of six in an allowance race last June; back from an absence here; not a betting proposition.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
21/06/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	6 / 6	683/20	-
10/05/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	10 / 10	331/20	-
07/04/24	Keeneland / Starter Allowance / F	-	1 / 7	73/10	-
10/11/23	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	8 / 8	2213/100	-
20/10/23	Keeneland / Starter Allowance / F	-	3 / 5	363/100	-
11/08/23	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	10 / 10	99/4	-

Favourite

2nd Favourite

Churchill Downs

19:45

Runners: 8 Distance: 1m 0f 0y

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: GILMORE looks set for a big run. He has been running consistently well of late and is bidding for his second course success, while Eddie M and Keen Cat could run well too.

American Law

Jockey: Corey Lanerie Trainer: Randy Morse Age/Wt: 7/8-6 F: 1-91334

Comment: Finished fourth last month albeit only beaten just over 4l in a starter allowance at Oaklawn Park on debut for this trainer; has been fairly consistent this year; easy to oppose as has a lot on his plate here.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
24/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	4 / 8	32/5	-
23/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	3 / 9	18/5	-
08/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	3 / 6	4/5	-
24/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	1 / 8	79/10	-
04/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	9 / 12	66/5	-
22/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	1 / 10	103/10	-

Gilmore

Jockey: Luis Saez Trainer: Joe Sharp Age/Wt: 5/8-6 F: 19-732

Comment: Has won at this course; string of consistent efforts of late; good effort when just over 4l second in a claimer 32 days ago (Keeneland) upped to 1m½f; this looks tougher but is a leading player.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
16/04/25	Keeneland / Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	97/50	-
13/03/25	Fair Grounds / Claiming / F	-	3 / 7	8/1	-
06/02/25	Fair Grounds / Claiming / F	-	7 / 7	77/10	-
13/12/24	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	9 / 11	23/10	-
02/11/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	1 / 9	78/25	-
13/10/24	Keeneland / Claiming / F	-	1 / 10	49/20	-

Shipman

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: Troy Green Age/Wt: 7/8-6 F: 0-81532

Comment: Has been fairly consistent this year; wasn't disgraced when runner-up of nine two weeks ago in a starter allowance; notable rider booked.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
30/04/25	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	2 / 9	102/5	-
09/04/25	Keeneland / Starter Allowance / F	-	3 / 8	3561/100	-
16/03/25	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	5 / 8	147/50	-
27/02/25	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	1 / 9	63/25	-
26/01/25	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	8 / 10	546/25	-
21/12/24	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	10 / 12	1807/50	-

Keen Cat

Jockey: Brian Jr Hernandez Trainer: Randy Morse Age/Wt: 6/8-6 F: 5-212

Comment: Possesses winning form at this track; has chalked up two wins from his last five; just denied in a starter allowance (Oaklawn Park) last month; rates a likely contender.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
11/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	2 / 9	11/10	-
14/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	1 / 9	29/10	-
19/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	2 / 8	14/5	-
22/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	5 / 9	37/10	-
01/12/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	1 / 7	58/25	-
16/11/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	2 / 12	841/50	-

Eddie M

Jockey: Angel Diaz Trainer: Nestor Rivera Age/Wt: 5/8-8 F: 242112

Comment: Generally consistent and achieved four wins at this venue; went down by 1l in an allowance race at Thistledown 13 days ago upped to this trip; some claims.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
05/05/25	Thistledown / Allowance / F	-	2 / 6	9/5	-
05/04/25	Mahoning Valley / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 3	9/10	-
24/03/25	Mahoning Valley / Allowance / F	-	1 / 6	7/10	-
04/03/25	Mahoning Valley / Allowance / F	-	2 / 5	6/5	-
11/02/25	Mahoning Valley / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 7	9/2	-
16/01/25	Mahoning Valley / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	16/1	-

Systemic Change

Jockey: Keith Asmussen Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 6/8-8 F: 1-4413

Comment: A respectable third of 12 two weeks ago at Oaklawn Park in a claimer; successful six times from 17 career runs; hard to dismiss despite being up in class.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
03/05/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	3 / 12	19/5	-
13/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	1 / 8	51/10	-
28/02/25	Turfway Park / Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 9	47/25	-
26/01/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 11	841/100	-
21/12/24	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	1 / 12	3/1	-
16/06/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	P / 8	9/5	-

Dance Some Mo

Jockey: Florent Geroux Trainer: Thomas Van Age/Wt: 7/8-6 F: 1-3548

Comment: Failed to land a blow when eighth of nine at Oaklawn Park four weeks ago in an allowance race; this looks a decent race so only limited appeal.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
19/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	8 / 9	5/1	-
30/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	4 / 10	79/5	-
17/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	5 / 10	31/10	-
04/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	3 / 12	34/5	-
13/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	1 / 9	69/10	-
16/11/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	9 / 12	1933/100	-

Greers Ferry

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Trainer: Carlos Santamaria Age/Wt: 4/8-6 F: 5-41

Comment: Seems to be improving based on last two runs; things dropped right when winning by just under 5l last month at Oaklawn Park on his debut for new trainer in a maiden claimer; others more persuasive despite that win at Oaklawn Park.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
13/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 12	41/10	-
23/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	4 / 10	11/1	-
06/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	5 / 8	28/5	-
01/10/24	Thistledown / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 6	1/5	-
10/09/24	Thistledown / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 7	1/2	-
28/08/24	Thistledown / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 5	1/10	-

Favourite

2nd Favourite

Churchill Downs

20:18

Runners: 8 Distance: 0m 6f 0y

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: GARDINER looks best placed to take advantage if the front-runners go too fast and is going for his second course success. Gettinby and Charbonnay could also have a say.

Charbonnay

Jockey: Adam Beschizza Trainer: J Ennis Age/Wt: 3/8-8 F: 14415

Comment: Proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking a fourth win); not disgraced in fifth ten days ago in a starter allowance; one to consider.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
08/05/25	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	5 / 7	391/25	-
23/04/25	Keeneland / Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	678/25	-
15/03/25	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	4 / 8	351/100	-
09/02/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 6	199/25	-
26/01/25	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	201/100	-
07/11/24	Churchill Downs / Optional Claiming / F	-	7 / 9	4547/100	-

Complex Music

Jockey: Keith Asmussen Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 19-625

Comment: Has won at this track; normally pretty consistent; fifth, beaten just over 5l by Charbonnay when not beaten too far last month at Keeneland in a claimer; tag unchanged at $50k.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
23/04/25	Keeneland / Claiming / F	-	5 / 7	59/20	-
26/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 7	37/5	-
11/01/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 7	93/5	-
14/12/24	Remington Park / Stakes / F	-	9 / 12	201/10	-
22/10/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance / F	-	1 / 6	33/10	-
03/10/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance / F	-	3 / 6	81/10	-

Gettinby

Jockey: Luis Saez Trainer: Randy Morse Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 1428

Comment: Beaten 10l when eighth of 11 at Oaklawn Park 29 days ago in an allowance race; almost victorious in a stakes 42 days ago; first run in a claimer; he has a shout as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
19/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	8 / 11	18/5	-
06/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Stakes / F	-	2 / 8	17/5	-
16/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	4 / 12	3/1	-
23/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 12	1/5	-
14/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 11	1253/25	-

Shan

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Trainer: Ed Moger Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 3-3769

Comment: Out of the frame when ninth (sloppy track) 15 days ago in an allowance optional claimer; now down in class (in for $50k from $125k); form of the trainer is a plus; should be in the mix if replicating best previous efforts.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
04/05/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 10	4357/100	-
22/03/25	Turfway Park / Stakes / F	-	6 / 7	1607/100	-
23/02/25	Turfway Park / Stakes / F	-	7 / 11	2321/50	-
19/01/25	Turfway Park / Stakes / F	-	3 / 8	814/25	-
19/12/24	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 11	1717/100	-
07/11/24	Churchill Downs / Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 9	33/4	-

Putting Eagle

Jockey: Abel Cedillo Trainer: Donnie Von Hemel Age/Wt: 3/8-8 F: 23218

Comment: Failed to land a blow when eighth of nine in a stakes (Oaklawn Park) on his debut for new trainer (sloppy track) 16 days ago; has found improvement of late; now drops in class but looks opposable.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
02/05/25	Oaklawn Park / Stakes / F	-	8 / 9	208/5	-
06/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming, Maiden / F	-	1 / 9	9/10	-
01/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 11	12/5	-
07/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 7	7/5	-
18/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 11	4/1	-
07/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 10	33/5	-

Mo Hair Sam

Jockey: Walter Rodriguez Trainer: John Hancock Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: -4326

Comment: Hit the bar in a stakes two months ago; beaten 14l at Keeneland over 7f (starter allowance, sloppy track) six weeks ago; others appeal more.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
06/04/25	Keeneland / Starter Allowance / F	-	6 / 9	1393/100	-
22/03/25	Turfway Park / Stakes / F	-	2 / 7	861/25	-
08/03/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 7	144/25	-
22/02/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 9	129/10	-
29/08/24	Kentucky Downs / Allowance / F	-	6 / 8	429/50	-
22/07/24	Ellis Park / Maiden, Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 8	219/100	-

Gardiner

Jockey: Jose Ortiz Trainer: Joe Sharp Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 81422-

Comment: Has won at this course; just denied over 1m here (claimer) when getting across to lead early from a wide stall six months ago; returns from an absence here; booking of Jose Ortiz takes the eye; holds major claims given that not many of these impressed last time out.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
22/11/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	2 / 8	27/50	-
01/11/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	2 / 6	77/10	-
17/10/24	Keeneland / Starter Allowance / F	-	4 / 7	201/25	-
12/09/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 11	519/100	-
11/08/24	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 10	2347/100	-

Megastar

Jockey: Evin Roman Trainer: R Moquett Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 66-1

Comment: Gained narrow success in a maiden claimer at Oaklawn Park on first run for current trainer when registering his first success at the third time of asking two weeks ago; deeper waters here (in for $50k here, $25k tag last time); now racing on dirt for the first time; this represents a step up in class so can be taken on.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
01/05/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 8	93/10	-
23/06/24	Woodbine / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 7	53/10	-
07/06/24	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 8	181/10	-

Favourite

2nd Favourite

Churchill Downs

20:50

Runners: 8 Distance: 1m 1f 0y

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: IMPEL is hard to look beyond. She likes to stalk the early speed and has been very consistent of late, while Amber Cascade and Sudden Switch should also be considered.

Ayra Stark

Jockey: Vincent Cheminaud Trainer: Ignacio Correas Age/Wt: 4/8-10 F: 111-

Comment: Has earned plenty of prize money in Argentina, on target four from seven starts; be led by the betting on this first start on these shores.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
01/11/24	Palermo / Stakes / F	2	1 / 5	1/1	-
12/10/24	Palermo / Allowance / F	-	1 / 8	29/20	-
22/07/24	Palermo / Allowance / F	-	1 / 9	7/20	-

Indy Label

Jockey: Brian Jr Hernandez Trainer: Matt Shirer Age/Wt: 4/8-10 F: 1-294

Comment: Not beaten too far when fourth at Keeneland three weeks ago in an allowance optional claimer; managed two wins in her last four outings; track has proven suitable before; this looks a fair heat so easy to oppose.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
23/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 7	229/20	-
23/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming, Stakes / F	-	9 / 11	8/1	-
19/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Stakes / F	-	2 / 7	16/5	-
20/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	1 / 7	71/10	-
16/11/24	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	219/50	-
29/09/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 6	806/25	-

Sudden Switch

Jockey: Jose Ortiz Trainer: Riley Mott Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 11

Comment: Scored by 4½l in an allowance race at Keeneland last month on debut for this trainer; lightly raced (this just her third race); aiming to complete a hat-trick; first run in a claimer; jockey does well from inside draws here so should get involved.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
10/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F		-	1 / 7	387/100	-
25/01/25	Tampa Bay Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	1 / 7	5/2	-

Amber Cascade

Jockey: Cristian Torres Trainer: Cherie Devaux Age/Wt: 5/8-10 F: -172

Comment: Has won at this course; producing consistent form; finished runner-up but wasn't beaten too far (7l) at Keeneland last month in an allowance race; one to be interested in.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
07/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	2 / 4	277/100	-
23/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming, Stakes / F	-	7 / 11	4/1	-
17/01/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 6	17/10	-
08/11/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 8	651/100	-
20/09/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	1 / 10	553/100	-
10/08/24	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	2 / 5	193/100	-

Sultry Lass

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: Michelle Lovell Age/Wt: 6/8-10 F: 3417-6

Comment: Has winning track form; held in sixth in an allowance optional claimer (Turfway Park) upped to 1m2f three months ago; record fresh suggests she might need this run; others appeal more.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
08/02/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 9	629/100	-
28/12/24	Turfway Park / Allowance / F	-	7 / 11	367/50	-
29/11/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 4	141/100	-
08/11/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 8	887/50	-
13/09/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 6	327/50	-
25/08/24	Ellis Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 8	133/25	-

Impel

Jockey: Florent Geroux Trainer: B Cox Age/Wt: 4/8-10 F: 32-4

Comment: From a respected trainer and ran well in a stakes in August; left punters frustrated after going off favourite when fourth in an allowance optional claimer back down to 6½f at Keeneland 35 days ago; arguably the one to beat.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
13/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 7	27/25	-
24/08/24	Parx / Stakes / F	-	2 / 6	3/2	-
06/07/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Stakes, Grade 3 / F	-	3 / 6	3/10	-
03/05/24	Churchill Downs / Stakes, Grade 2 / F	-	2 / 11	457/100	-
05/04/24	Keeneland / Stakes, Grade 1 / F	-	3 / 8	101/50	-
03/03/24	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	6/5	-

Ba Dee Yah

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: Thomas Amoss Age/Wt: 4/8-10 F: 96-23

Comment: Ran encouragingly when just over 2l third in an allowance optional claimer at Oaklawn Park in March; may have to settle for supporting role as not in the habit of winning recently.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
07/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 9	87/10	-
17/01/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	19/5	-
22/12/24	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 8	36/5	-
20/07/24	Woodbine / Stakes / F	-	9 / 14	223/20	-
09/06/24	Prairie Meadows / Stakes / F	-	3 / 5	8/5	-
30/03/24	Oaklawn Park / Stakes, Grade 3, Grade 2 / F	-	6 / 10	189/10	-

Windy Walk

Jockey: Luis Saez Trainer: Christophe Davis Age/Wt: 4/8-10 F: 111-93

Comment: Missed the frame (beaten 11l into third) at Keeneland over 1m½f (starter allowance) last month; impressive record here of four wins from six runs; could have a say.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
24/04/25	Keeneland / Starter Allowance / F	-	3 / 7	87/50	-
18/01/25	Gulfstream Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 9	12/5	-
26/12/24	Gulfstream Park / Stakes / F	-	1 / 5	141/10	-
20/11/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	1 / 7	37/20	-
26/10/24	Keeneland / Starter Allowance / F	-	1 / 9	121/100	-
29/09/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	1 / 7	261/100	-

Favourite

2nd Favourite

Churchill Downs

21:22

Runners: 10 Distance: 1m 1f 0y

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: MY BOY TONY is fancied for this. He looks best placed to take advantage if the front-runners go too fast and ran with credit last time.

Warning Signs

Jockey: Adam Beschizza Trainer: Kelsey Danner Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 56-

Comment: Fair effort when beaten 2½l over 1m½f at Horseshoe Indianapolis (allowance race) in October; has had some time off; others have more pressing claims as this could be a hot race.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
24/10/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance / F	-	6 / 12	46/5	-
05/09/24	Kentucky Downs / Allowance / F	-	5 / 12	2483/100	-
18/06/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 11	51/10	-
26/05/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 8	51/5	-
10/09/23	Kentucky Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 12	1597/50	-
12/08/23	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 8	147/10	-

Askari

Jockey: Sophie Doyle Trainer: Christophe Davis Age/Wt: 5/8-12 F: 3/6155

Comment: Not beaten too far when fifth of 12 in an allowance race at Keeneland last month; likely player if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
19/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	5 / 12	1793/100	-
29/03/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 11	8/5	-
06/03/25	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	1 / 8	137/25	-
30/01/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 12	873/100	-
30/08/23	Saratoga / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 8	127/10	-
22/07/23	Monmouth Park / Allowance / F	-	4 / 14	3/1	-

Presider

Jockey: Ben Curtis Trainer: Brittany Russell Age/Wt: 5/8-12 F: 2-12203

Comment: Not beaten far over 1m here (allowance race) two weeks ago.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
01/05/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	3 / 11	353/50	-
09/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	10 / 12	1213/100	-
28/02/25	Santa Anita / Starter Allowance / F	-	2 / 6	13/10	-
01/02/25	Santa Anita / Starter Allowance / F	-	2 / 9	7/5	-
06/01/25	Santa Anita / Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 11	17/5	-
25/11/24	Del Mar / Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 11	61/10	-

Fort Thomas

Jockey: J R Leparoux Trainer: George Arnold Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 321-8

Comment: Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; boasts winning form over C&D; split a number of these rivals 24 days ago upped to 1m4f at Keeneland in an allowance race; hard enough to fancy as running in what looks to be a hot race.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
24/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	8 / 12	651/100	-
03/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 12	301/100	-
10/10/24	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 12	223/50	-
08/09/24	Kentucky Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 10	207/50	-
08/07/24	Delaware Park / Stakes / F	-	8 / 11	28/5	-
08/06/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 12	321/100	-

Mount Rundle

Jockey: Alex Achard Trainer: Michelle Nihei Age/Wt: 6/8-12 F: 8/6-49

Comment: Finished ninth of 12 last month when he was behind a few of these upped to 1m4f at Keeneland in an allowance race; has won at this course; may have to settle for supporting role with a number of his rivals in good nick.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
24/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	9 / 12	511/50	-
22/03/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 12	23/2	-
18/10/24	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	6 / 12	45/4	-
06/08/23	Ellis Park / Stakes / F	-	8 / 11	1072/25	-
16/07/23	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	2 / 7	261/100	-
20/05/23	Churchill Downs / Stakes, Grade 3 / F	-	6 / 10	2493/100	-

Thick As Thieves

Jockey: Declan Cannon Trainer: Whitworth Beckman Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 51-3

Comment: Finished just behind My Boy Tony when third at Fair Grounds over 1m (starter allowance) in March; has arguably shown improved form the last twice; hard enough to fancy with stamina to prove at this new trip.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
18/03/25	Fair Grounds / Starter Allowance / F	-	3 / 10	131/10	-
15/12/24	Fair Grounds / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 11	66/5	-
09/11/24	Laurel Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	5 / 11	7/2	-
11/10/24	Laurel Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 12	141/10	-
02/02/24	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	4 / 9	269/50	-
27/10/23	Laurel Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 10	31/5	-

Steadfast Resolve

Jockey: Jose Ortiz Trainer: George Weaver Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 1-33

Comment: Has chalked up two wins from his last four; string of consistent efforts of late; split a number of these rivals when just denied (Keeneland) last month in an allowance race; likely player.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
24/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	3 / 12	261/100	-
01/02/25	Gulfstream Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	3 / 12	49/10	-
02/11/24	Belmont At The Big A / Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 12	5/2	-
05/10/24	Belmont At The Big A / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 12	33/20	-
29/08/24	Saratoga / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 8	4/1	-
12/07/24	Saratoga / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 8	9/10	-

Tickled Quist

Jockey: Florent Geroux Trainer: B Cox Age/Wt: 3/8-8 F: 55-221

Comment: Managed to get on the lead from his wide berth when winning with a bit to spare (Keeneland, yielding) over 1m½f (maiden special weight) last month; has taken a step forward the last twice and from powerful stable; has to be taken seriously.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
25/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 12	15/4	-
21/03/25	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 8	17/10	-
21/02/25	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 11	47/10	-
01/12/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 12	97/25	-
14/09/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 11	143/25	-
26/08/24	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 11	407/100	-

My Boy Tony

Jockey: Luis Saez Trainer: Eddie Kenneally Age/Wt: 5/8-12 F: -922

Comment: Consistent performer; beaten narrowly in an allowance race upped to 1m4f when he finished ahead of a number of these runners (Keeneland) last month; clear chance if building on most recent effort.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
24/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	2 / 12	15/4	-
18/03/25	Fair Grounds / Starter Allowance / F	-	2 / 10	27/10	-
15/02/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance / F	-	9 / 12	26/5	-
21/11/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	2 / 10	131/25	-
25/10/24	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	3 / 12	407/100	-
05/09/24	Kentucky Downs / Allowance / F	-	2 / 12	251/100	-

Navy Seal

Jockey: Luan Machado Trainer: Wesley Ward Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 254-82

Comment: From respected yard; good effort when close up over 1m at Keeneland (allowance race) when ahead of Presider last month; certainly not out of it as recent effort was encouraging.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
09/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	2 / 12	23/2	-
04/01/25	Gulfstream Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	8 / 12	41/10	-
21/11/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	4 / 10	133/100	-
31/08/24	Kentucky Downs / Stakes, Grade 3 / F	-	5 / 12	287/20	-
27/07/24	Saratoga / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 10	41/10	-
23/06/24	Canterbury Park / Stakes / F	-	3 / 7	9/10	-

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2nd Favourite

Churchill Downs

21:55

Runners: 16 Distance: 0m 6f 0y

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: CAMP HALE is strongly fancied to come out on top. He looks best placed to take advantage if the front-runners go too fast, while Reaction isn't out of it.

Ship Ship Hooray

Jockey: Luan Machado Trainer: Kelsey Danner Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 3-873

Comment: Close up behind Camp Hale when third at Keeneland last month in a maiden special weight.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
08/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 10	807/25	-
09/02/25	Turfway Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 8	267/50	-
05/01/25	Turfway Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 12	571/50	-
01/12/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 12	57/2	-

Evan On Earth

Jockey: Luis Saez Trainer: Gregory Foley Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 622-

Comment: Near miss at 7-4 in November when little between him and Shallus (fourth) in a maiden special weight; string of consistent efforts of late and shown recent signs of improvement; returns from a layoff here; latest effort was encouraging so poses a threat.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
22/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 8	171/100	-
08/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 6	151/50	-
04/05/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 8	157/50	-
27/01/24	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 8	7/2	-
30/12/23	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 11	31/10	-
12/11/23	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 10	199/20	-

High Water

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: George Arnold Age/Wt: 3/8-6

Comment: Looks the part on breeding (by Hightail); sibling of Isocline (6f winner); trainer has a good record with first-time-out runners here; yard been sending out winners lately; sire gives plenty of encouragement for 6f.

Camp Hale

Jockey: Brian Jr Hernandez Trainer: Ian Wilkes Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 22-242

Comment: Has raised his game the last twice; second at Keeneland when 5-4 in a maiden special weight last month; clear chance if building on last performance.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
08/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 10	127/100	-
08/02/25	Tampa Bay Downs / Stakes / F	-	4 / 10	121/10	-
11/01/25	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 8	1/2	-
16/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 12	139/100	-
11/10/24	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 12	1813/100	-

Preposition

Jockey: Keith Asmussen Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 82-

Comment: Nicely bred (by Tapit); ran a good race in defeat when a close runner-up in a maiden special weight (sloppy track) in September; returns from a break here; breeding catches the eye and has to be taken seriously.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
29/09/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	2 / 8	1479/100	-
24/08/24	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	8 / 11	2721/100	-

Valiant Humor

Jockey: Florent Geroux Trainer: B Cox Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 33

Comment: Represents top trainer; favourite but came up short when little between him and Vex (fifth) at Keeneland last month in a maiden special weight; competitive shout given he should have learnt plenty from that experience.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
12/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	3 / 11	259/100	-
15/02/25	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	3 / 9	23/10	-

Vex

Jockey: Cristian Torres Trainer: Matthew Sims Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 5

Comment: Held on his debut (behind Valiant Humor) at Keeneland at 33-1 last month; should benefit for having a run under his belt.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
12/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	5 / 11	317/10	-

Studeny

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: Thomas Vance Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 6-723

Comment: Signs of improvement on last two runs; went down by 4l when third 22 days ago in a maiden claimer; this demands more than last time so not taken to make a serious impact.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
27/04/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 9	417/50	-
13/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 7	79/10	-
16/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	7 / 9	56/5	-
07/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 9	87/5	-
16/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	10 / 12	9297/100	-

Liam's Lagoon

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Trainer: John Ortiz Age/Wt: 3/8-6

Comment: Stable has enjoyed debutant winners at this course; seems to have been working encouragingly and looks a contender.

Nu What's New

Jockey: Abel Cedillo Trainer: James DiVito Age/Wt: 3/8-6

Comment: Has a nice pedigree (by Munnings); passed over unless attracting strong support starting out in what looks a warm event and.

Reaction

Jockey: Jose Ortiz Trainer: Joe Sharp Age/Wt: 3/8-6

Comment: Joe Sharp debutants always command respect here; sire's stock can be smart performers; related to Grade 3 winner Happy Like A Fool; has a nice pedigree (by Uncle Mo); hard to dismiss as some good aspects to his profile and the trainer is in good nick.

Taylor's Version

Jockey: Corey Lanerie Trainer: Dale Romans Age/Wt: 3/8-6

Comment: Newcomers from this trainer are capable of striking; nicely bred (by Into Mischief); sibling of Four Grands (6f winner); sire can inject some quality; faces a demanding debut and requires market confidence to make him of interest.

Shallus

Jockey: Alberto Burgos Trainer: Rogelio Labra Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 54-635

Comment: Beaten 16l into fifth in a maiden special weight (sloppy track) two weeks ago; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 14 and proving a little expensive to follow; down in trip here.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
04/05/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 11	2057/50	-
09/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 6	528/25	-
06/03/25	Turfway Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 8	892/25	-
22/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 8	44/1	-
13/11/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 7	22/5	-
14/10/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 8	23/10	-

Bob's Carrot

Jockey: Jose Ortiz Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 32-

Comment: Nicely bred (by Daredevil) and related to Stakes winner Hot Fudge; was on the premises (second, beaten 3½l) last June in a maiden special weight; returns from a layoff.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
20/06/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	2 / 10	353/25	-
16/05/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	3 / 6	791/100	-

White Whale

Jockey: Irving Moncada Trainer: George Arnold Age/Wt: 3/8-1 F: 4-343

Comment: Not beaten far when third at Keeneland (sloppy track) three weeks ago in a maiden special weight; best form so far in last two starts.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
25/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 8	547/100	-
09/03/25	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 7	7/1	-
11/01/25	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 9	119/10	-
01/12/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 12	303/50	-
01/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 9	587/100	-
11/10/24	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 12	5593/100	-

Fly Guy Mick

Jockey: Corey Lanerie Trainer: Dale Romans Age/Wt: 3/8-6

Comment: Sibling of Oma The Great (1m winner); trainer more than capable of getting one ready first time out; nicely bred (by Mckinzie).

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